|
|
Africa
|
|
|
Algeria
|
A fall in global oil prices
undermines the economic risk outlook, but government moves to curb foreign
investment are a greater risk.
|
|
|
Angola
|
Despite increased short-term risks, the impact of
the global economic downturn should only be moderate.
|
|
|
Botswana
|
The country's high dependence on diamond
production and prices continues to present a risk to the external sector.
|
|
|
Cameroon
|
Positive developments in the cocoa sector boost
the economy, but the forestry sector's outlook is less optimistic.
|
|
|
Congo,
D.R.
|
The effects of the government's military
offensive in the Kivus may extend far beyond the
affected border provinces.
|
|
|
Cote
d’Ivoire
|
Preparations for the crucial presidential
election begin but the election is likely to be delayed again.
|
|
|
Ethiopia
|
Perilously low FX reserves and the prospect of
widening external imbalances threaten the country's outlook.
|
|
|
Gabon
|
D&B upgrades Gabon's country risk rating in
the light of robust economic growth, strong budget and external balances, and
more transparent oil accounting.
|
|
|
Ghana
|
The country's importance as a gold producer and
investment into the oil sector should reduce the impact of the current
financial turmoil.
|
|
|
Kenya
|
The country's reliance on agricultural exports
and tourism leaves it acutely vulnerable to the effects of a global economic
downturn.
|
|
|
Libya
|
The country's economic outlook deteriorates
slightly due to lower global oil prices.
|
|
|
Malawi
|
The current account position is set to experience
major imbalances owing to higher import costs and reduced remittances from
abroad.
|
|
|
Mauritius
|
The impact of the recent volatility in the global
financial market appears likely to be relatively limited, despite an increase
in credit risk.
|
|
|
Morocco
|
A strong agricultural performance underpins
robust growth in 2008 but the outlook for 2009 has darkened somewhat.
|
|
|
Mozambique
|
The economy grows briskly in the first half of
the year, but inflationary pressures and commercial risks pose threats to the
operating environment.
|
|
|
Namibia
|
Inflation remains a key source of risk to the
operating environment.
|
|
|
Nigeria
|
The central bank moves to boost liquidity by
slashing interest rates.
|
|
|
Senegal
|
Structural weaknesses in the country's economy
continue to pose key downside risks.
|
|
|
Sierra
Leone
|
Although the overall risk outlook is improving,
commercial risks are still high.
|
|
|
South
Africa
|
D&B downgrades South Africa's country risk
rating due to the weaker economic outlook and in-fighting within the ruling
party.
|
|
|
Sudan
|
The impact of any major global economic downturn
will affect the country's crucial oil revenues.
|
|
|
Tanzania
|
The economic outlook remains relatively positive,
although inflation is a downside risk.
|
|
|
Tunisia
|
The outlook remains stable against a background
of healthy foreign investment inflows and slowing economic growth.
|
|
|
Uganda
|
The macroeconomic and external risk profiles
deteriorate due to concerns over a severe global economic slowdown.
|
|
|
Zambia
|
Political tensions rise as the country prepares
to hold a snap presidential election.
|
|
|
Zimbabwe
|
The power-sharing deal is on the brink of
collapse, reducing any prospect of recovery in the crippled economy.
|
|
|
Asia Pacific
|
|
|
|
Afghanistan
|
The country risk outlook worsens amid slowing
economic growth, political uncertainty and the deteriorating security
environment.
|
|
|
|
Australia
|
D&B downgrades Australia's country risk
rating in the wake of recent global financial market volatility.
|
|
|
|
Bangladesh
|
Economic growth remains resilient despite recent
natural disasters, while fresh elections could reinvigorate ailing FDI
inflows.
|
|
|
|
Cambodia
|
D&B downgrades Cambodia's country risk rating
due to continued price pressures, weaker exports, cross-border tensions and a
bleaker investment outlook.
|
|
|
|
China
|
D&B downgrades China's country risk rating
amid fears that the faltering global economy will have a stronger impact than
previously thought.
|
|
|
|
Fiji
|
The outlook for the tourism and manufacturing
sectors deteriorates, while the broader economy remains flat.
|
|
|
|
Hong
Kong
|
The country's banks remain strong amid measures
to shore up the financial system.
|
|
|
|
India
|
The authorities introduce measures to ease
liquidity pressures by freeing up cash for the banking system.
|
|
|
|
Indonesia
|
The currency falters as commodity prices and the
local bourse crash.
|
|
|
|
Japan
|
The country's outlying regions face deteriorating
economic prospects as unemployment rises.
|
|
|
|
Korea
(South)
|
D&B downgrades South Korea's country risk
rating amid concerns over the banking system and slower future economic
growth.
|
|
|
|
Malaysia
|
The financial sector survives the global turmoil,
but will be tested by a looming economic slowdown.
|
|
|
|
Myanmar
|
Renewed commercial interest in the energy-starved
economy improves the junta's position.
|
|
|
|
Nepal
|
The new Maoist-led government faces difficulties
in implementing its ambitious policy agenda.
|
|
|
|
New Zealand
|
D&B downgrades New Zealand’s risk rating in
response to the country's weakening economic outlook.
|
|
|
|
Pakistan
|
D&B downgrades Pakistan's country risk rating
amid a severe weakening in the balance of payments and a deteriorating
political risk environment.
|
|
|
|
Papua
New Guinea
|
High inflation and issues surrounding two major
commercial projects are causing concern.
|
|
|
|
Philippines
|
Although the financial system has limited its
exposure to sub-prime US assets, the economy still faces challenges.
|
|
|
|
Singapore
|
D&B downgrades Singapore's country risk
rating amid a looming recession and a decline in port traffic.
|
|
|
|
Sri
Lanka
|
The economy accelerates, but inflation remains a
major challenge for businesses.
|
|
|
|
Taiwan
|
The country's output looks set to slow, with
emerging market demand apparently unable to sustain exports.
|
|
|
|
Thailand
|
D&B downgrades Thailand's country risk rating
in response to continued political uncertainty and a worsening economic
outlook.
|
|
|
|
Vietnam
|
The economy stabilises but high inflation and
tight credit ensure that business conditions remain difficult.
|
|
|
|
Eastern Europe
|
|
|
|
Albania
|
The economic outlook deteriorates despite a
generally robust macroeconomic environment.
|
|
|
|
Azerbaijan
|
President Aliyev wins
re-election, leaving little prospect of significant change to the oppressive
political environment.
|
|
|
|
Belarus
|
Major flaws in the parliamentary election set
back improvements in the country's risk profile.
|
|
|
|
Bosnia & Herzegovina
|
The political environment remains the greatest
area of risk, while the impact of global financial and economic woes has been
limited.
|
|
|
|
Bulgaria
|
Recent international financial developments are
likely to result in a sharper-than-expected slowdown of growth.
|
|
|
|
Croatia
|
The global financial turmoil starts to affect the
country as economic growth slows and reform progress stagnates.
|
|
|
|
Czech
Republic
|
The outcome of the forthcoming elections could
provide a vital test for the largest ruling party.
|
|
|
|
Estonia
|
D&B downgrades Estonia's risk rating in
response to the country's deteriorating economic outlook.
|
|
|
|
Georgia
|
As Russia withdraws from undisputed territory,
the prospects for post-conflict recovery depend on the fate of President Saakashvili.
|
|
|
|
Hungary
|
D&B downgrades Hungary’s country risk rating
as the country is affected by the latest bout of global financial turmoil.
|
|
|
|
Kazakhstan
|
The outlook deteriorates in response to the
global financial crisis and the banking sector’s high risk exposures.
|
|
|
|
Kyrgyz
Republic
|
A looming energy crisis threatens to disrupt
economic activity and weaken economic growth.
|
|
|
|
Latvia
|
The chances of a quick recovery appear slim as
the economy falls into recession.
|
|
|
|
Lithuania
|
Concerns rise over relations with Russia after
that country's short war with Georgia.
|
|
|
|
Macedonia
|
The economic outlook remains robust, although the
lingering name dispute with Greece continues to affect political risk.
|
|
|
|
Poland
|
The export sector will feel the consequences of
the expected slowdown in Western Europe in the wake of the deepening credit
crunch.
|
|
|
|
Romania
|
|